Good morning folks,
The market is always changing and as traders we have to change with it. As we wait on the fed statement and the "Brexit" vote the markets are struggling. There was really nowhere to hide yesterday if you are a long biased trader as nearly every sector was under pressure. The VIX spiked and with volatility picking up and fear starting to creep in TVIX and UVXY provided some nice trading opportunities.
Gold and SLV continued to show strength while the miners and miner ETF's had another day of consolidation. The dollar pulled back yesterday as the market becomes more convinced the Fed will not be raising rates this summer. We have the Fed decision on Wednesday with a press conference to follow where we may get a clearer picture of the plan for getting back to a normalized interest rate policy. If the tone is extremely dovish the dollar will likely weaken and that could continue to provide some strength in the precious metals.
Oil pulled back after two weeks of rig counts starting to climb with the price of oil hanging around 50 dollars a barrel. Concerns that the rig count and inventory supply will continue rise and outpace demand is starting to put pressure on oil and energy names.
Technically we took out a couple key levels that we talked about in this weeks market wrap video. We closed below the 115 level in the IWM and below 265 in the IBB. I am now watching the 113 level for the IWM and the 260 area for the IBB.
One sector that caught my eye for potential strength is agriculture. Keep an eye on DAG and DBA ETF's. The may need to consolidate a bit more before we get our next move but I think its a sector we may want to be paying close attention to.
Retail sales just came in stronger than anticipated and that could provide us with a bounce in the sector.
Today's Markets
In Asia, Japan -1% to 15859. Hong Kong -0.6% to 20387. China +0.3% to 2842. India flat at 26,395.
In Europe, at midday, London -1.2%. Paris -1.3%. Frankfurt -0.7%.
Futures at 6:20, Dow -0.2%. S&P -0.2%. Nasdaq -0.3%. Crude -1.3% to $48.27. Gold-0.3% to $1282.90.
Ten-year Treasury Yield -3 bps to 1.58%
In Europe, at midday, London -1.2%. Paris -1.3%. Frankfurt -0.7%.
Futures at 6:20, Dow -0.2%. S&P -0.2%. Nasdaq -0.3%. Crude -1.3% to $48.27. Gold-0.3% to $1282.90.
Ten-year Treasury Yield -3 bps to 1.58%
Today's Economic Calendar
8:30 Retail Sales
8:30 Import/Export Prices
10:00 Business Inventories
ETF's on my Radar
Volatility OIL Biotech
UVXY XIV VXX TVIX VMIX VMAX UWTI DWTI GUSH DRIP USO LABD IBB LABU
UVXY XIV VXX TVIX VMIX VMAX UWTI DWTI GUSH DRIP USO LABD IBB LABU
Gold SILVER Dollar Financials
GLD NUGT JNUG USLV UUP FAS XLF FAZ HYG JNK
Minerals and Miners Utilities RETAIL Transportation
XME GDX GDXJ XLU XRT IYT XTN
DUST JDST
Agriculture SPY
DBA, DAG SPXS SPXL
STOCKS ON MY RADAR PREMARKET
YGE gapper off earnings lots of debt and the sector is weak be careful but could set up intraday IPI nice looking setup on the daily and in the right sector
VTVT recent Pearlman buy flirting with a 6 roll
MZOR hot looking daily > pr this morning flirting with a 16 roll
VG caught an upgrade recent insider buys around 4 bucks flirting with a 5 roll
*PR = Press Release*
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