Thursday, April 14, 2016

Opportunity Is Always Out There


Good morning folks,
Technically we took out some important levels yesterday. 
Both XLV and the IBB  are doing what we had hoped in last weeks market wrap video. They held the areas of potential support and they appear to be consolidating which is what we wanted to see happen before they try to take out that price resistance overhead. Keep an eye on LABU and XLV if the markets continue this move higher. 

Oil took a little pause yesterday after its strong move over 40 and the energy ETS's broke some long term trend lines. This move may be a head fake heading into Sundays big OPEC meeting but it still presents some short term trading opportunities. There was another bankruptcy announcement in the sector by EXXI after the close. I wouldn't be chasing anything especially the smaller lower quality names with extreme debt loads.   

Gold and the miners showed some signs of weakness yesterday on the heels of the dollar showing some strength. The Bank of England will be revealing its rate decision this morning and that could potentially impact the dollar strength if the dollar strengthens watch for the gold correlation to continue. 

The two sectors that I was concerned about in the market wrap video both had nice recoveries yesterday. The XRT which is the retail ETF and the IYT transportation index both had impressive bounces. We talked about how this market could be set up for one heck of a squeeze because of the high weighting of  shorts betting against this extended rally. At some point the shorts will be right but the question is how much pain are they willing to endure before they are? Markets can stay irrational much longer than most can stay solvent. 

JPM earnings certainly helped the financials which we needed. The earnings were not stellar but they really didn't need to to be. They just needed to be better than most people on the street anticipated. We have another group of financials reporting today and if they come in the same way we could see more follow through in the sector since it was priced for disappointment. 

Today's Markets 
In Asia, Japan +3.2% to 16911. Hong Kong +0.9% to 21338. China +0.5% to 3082. India+1.9% to 25627.
In Europe, at midday, London flat. Paris +0.3%. Frankfurt flat.
Futures at 6:20, Dow -0.1%. S&P -0.1%. Nasdaq -0.1%. Crude flat at $41.75. Gold -0.6%to $1241.40.
Ten-year Treasury Yield +1 bps to 1.77%
Today's Economic Calendar


ETF's on my Radar 
Volatility & SPY                                     OIL                                                  Biotech
UVXY XIV VXX TVIX SPXS SPXL      UWTI DWTI GUSH DRIP         
LABD IBB LABU      
 Gold                                SILVER         Dollar                                Financials
GLD NUGT JNUG             USLV          UUP                                 FAS XLF FAZ

Minerals and Miners                   Utilities           RETAIL                    Transportation 
XME GDX GDXJ                      XLU             XRT                         IYT  XTN
DUST JDST  

Stock on my Radar Premarket 
*pr = Press Release
TRIL thin floater flirting with a 10 roll and long term trendline has an update on April 18th
Trillium To Give Update On CD47 Program April 18th From 1pm-5pm CT
RPRX surprised they did not raise capital after the run yesterday Could get some follow through but definitely not one you want to chase 
OVAS like the daily setup recent insider buys 7.50 through 10.71 
EVOL super tiny floater with some pr this morning and the daily actually looks kinda hot could get a 6 test and roll but DO NOT GO big or heavy looks for real volume
ABBV hot daily some pr out this morning potential 60 test and roll Thick stock more of a swing  type 
MRK another hot daily with pr flirting with 56 roll Thick stock probably more of a swing 




Stocks in this weeks TICKER TV watch list and how they are tracking 


Market Wrap & Sector Watch a look back and a look ahead 

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