Tuesday, April 16, 2013

Tricky trading

Yesterday I did not take one day trade,I actually tried to get in $TZA when it crossed its 50 day moving average but did not get my fill.

I spent most of the day unloading both profitable and not so profitable positions to build up cash. Volatility rose by 40% yesterday which indicates to me we could be in for a Mr Toads Wild Ride in the markets  for near term which can make it a difficult environment to hold swing positions. I am not saying I got out of all my swings but I am lightening the load and building up my cash position for trading.

Morning movers and others On my watch
$NWBO pr Thin float , $TASR pr, $NVTL pr,$MNKD, $MERU, $BIOL, $HIMX, $HK upgrade, $MHR pr,$AVEO pr, $IPAS pr,

Tuesday's economic calendar:
7:45 ICSC Retail Store Sales
8:30 Consumer Price Index
8:30 Housing Starts
8:55 Redbook Chain Store Sales
9:15 Industrial Production
12:00 PM Fed's Duke speaks at American Banking Association
1:00 PM Fed's Kocherlakota: ''Improving the Outlook with Better Monetary Policy'
3:00 PM Janet Yellen discussion on Monetary Policy

Notable earnings before today's open: AMTD, BLK, CMA, GS, GWW, JNJ, KO, NTRS, USB, WWW

Notable earnings after today's close: CSX, IBKR, INTC, LLTC, URI, YHOO

Briefing.COM
Gapping up                                                                    
                                                                        
In reaction to strong earnings/guidance: KO +3.1%, BRO +2.4%, PBY +1.8%, JNJ  
+1.4%, GS +0.6%.                                                              
                                                                     
M&A news: ANEN +9.9% (12.8% owner Vintage Capital Management submits proposal  to acquire Co for $23/share, in 13G filing out last night), S +1.3% (         

Bloomberg discusses that Sprint may receive higher bids following Dish Network offer, also reports out indicate Softbank is expected to stay in the race for 
Sprint following Dish Network offer; upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at   
JPMorgan), .                                                                  
       
Select financial related names showing strength: RBS +3%, ING +2.8%, DB +2.8%,
CS +1.9%, MS +1.7%, .                                                         

Metals/mining stocks trading higher: GFI +7.8%, AU +6.6%, GOLD +6.1%, KGC     
+4.8%, ABX +4.1%, AG +4%, HMY +3.2%, HL +3.1%, GDX +2.8%, SLV +2.8%, AUY      
+2.8%, EGO +2.6%, SLW +2.5%, GLD +2.3%, RIO +2.3% (reports Q1 attributable    
Iron Ore output of 48.3 MT), NEM +2%, MT +1.9%.                               
                                                                         

Other news: ASTI +12.1% (thinly traded, announces retail relationship with    
Fr's Electronics), MHR +4.2% (Provides 1Q2013 Co Wide Operational Update; On 

Apr 10, 2013, the co began drilling its first Utica Shale well on our Farley  
Pad), EGY +1.9% (provides update on drilling activities offshore), F +1.2%    
(trading higher after reports out yesterday suggested March sales outpaced TM 
in China), ASEI +1.1% (following late lift on Boston bombing news), FB +0.7%  
(conflicting reports out discuss potential FB talks over mobile software), COP
+0.5% (China has an interest in buying stake in COP in developing
+Kazakhstan's
oilfield, according to reports).                                              

Analyst comments: HK +4.4% (initiated with a Outperform at Raymond James),    
MSFT +1.1% (assumed with an Overweight from Equal Weight at Morgan Stanley)   


Gapping down                                                                  

In reaction to disappointing earnings/guidance: KEYN -6.8%, (light volume),   
ATI -5.3%, JOEZ -4.3%, NTGR -4.1%, HCA -3.3%, TGT -1.1%.                      
  
A few retailers pulling back following TGT guidance: KSS -0.9%, WMT -0.5%,    
COST -0.3%                                                                    
                                                                            

Other news: LDK -18.8% (announces partial nonpayment for convertible notes),  
CLI -12.2% (confirms it intends to reduce quarterly dividend 33% to $0.30 from
$0.45 per share), NBG -9.3% (still checking, Reuters details news that Cyprus 
has raised the amount Cyprus citizens can transfer between banks to EUR 3K    
from EUR 2K), SRPT -6.5% (announces FDA will consider accelerated approval for
eteplirsen after further review of data on dystrophin and clinical outcomes,  
downgraded at Janney and Leerink), CCXI -4.3% ( commenced an underwritten     
public offering of $60 million of its common stock), ARMH -2.5% (still        
checking), DV -1.8% (disclosed that it received earlier this month a subpoena 
and more recently a Civil Investigative Demand).                              
   
Analyst comments: NKA -2.4% (downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Citigroup)    
Today's Upgrades:
CompanyTickerBrokerage Firm
Pioneer Natural ResourcesPXDCanaccord Genuity
Dreamworks AnimationDWAB. Riley & Co.
Owens CorningOCCitigroup
DCT Industrial TrustDCTBofA/Merrill
Akzo Nobel N.V.AKZOYING Group
Sprint NextelSJP Morgan
Old DominionODFLJP Morgan
Pinnacle FinlPNFPWunderlich
Thermo FisherTMOMizuho
Today's Downgrades:
CompanyTickerBrokerage Firm
InfosysINFYBofA/Merrill
First Republic BankFRCCredit Suisse
PAA Natural Gas StoragePNGCitigroup
Sarepta TherapeuticsSRPTLeerink Swann
Life TechnologiesLIFECredit Suisse
Associated British FoodsASBFYCredit Suisse
C.H. RobinsonCHRWJP Morgan
Niska Gas StorageNKACitigroup
Spectra Energy LPSEPCitigroup
Sunoco LogisticsSXLCitigroup
TC PipelinesTCPCitigroup
VentasVTRCitigroup
Rose Rock MidstreamRRMSCitigroup
Good luck trading !!

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